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	<title>Searching For The Question &#187; people</title>
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	<link>http://www.davidorban.com</link>
	<description>David Orban&#039;s blog</description>
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		<title>Nobel winning game theorists on change</title>
		<link>http://www.davidorban.com/2008/04/nobel_winning_g/</link>
		<comments>http://www.davidorban.com/2008/04/nobel_winning_g/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Apr 2008 10:35:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Orban</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Video]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[people]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seminar]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://davidorban.natives.it/?p=197</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The mathematical field of game theory, explored by John Von Neumann in the &#8217;40s, and broadened by John Nash in the late &#8217;50s and beginning of the &#8217;60s has been applied mainly to economics. To me it is interesting, because I view it as a discipline where the experimental subjects can, sometimes even must be [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The mathematical field of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Game_theory">game theory</a>, explored by John Von Neumann in the &#8217;40s, and broadened by John Nash in the late &#8217;50s and beginning of the &#8217;60s has been applied mainly to economics. To me it is interesting, because I view it as a discipline where the experimental subjects can, sometimes even must be aware of the rules of that are governing the situation, and their awareness interacts with the boundaries of what is possible. This interaction confounds those that would rather believe in a clean situation that can be conveniently analyzed. When reality stops behaving like the models would predict, in game theory it looks like the players just invented new rules, their behavior following meta-rules of unknown origin.</p>
<p>I met <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Forbes_Nash">John Nash</a>, and his colleague <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Aumann">Robert Aumann</a> recently. Both won the nobel prize for economy (there isn&#8217;t one for mathematics!) for their achievements in games theory.</p>
<p>In our conversation I asked them one of my &#8216;usual&#8217; questions about the impact of accelerating change, and the strains to which individuals and societies which adapt are exposed. It took a little prodding to let them admit that a new kind of change might indeed be happening! That not all change is equal. That the accumulation of a quantitative change can burst into a phase-changing level of qualitative change.</p>
<p>Here are three videos&#8230;</p>
<p><a href="http://it.youtube.com/watch?v=uYwBtEhvPU4">Conversation with John Nash</a></p>
<div style="text-align: center;"><object width="425" height="355"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/uYwBtEhvPU4&#038;hl=it"></param><param name="wmode" value="transparent"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/uYwBtEhvPU4&#038;hl=it" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" wmode="transparent" width="425" height="355"></embed></object></div>
<p><a href="http://it.youtube.com/watch?v=nHLQQA3PNmY">Conversation with Robert Auman</a></p>
<div style="text-align: center;"><object width="425" height="355"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/nHLQQA3PNmY&#038;hl=it"></param><param name="wmode" value="transparent"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/nHLQQA3PNmY&#038;hl=it" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" wmode="transparent" width="425" height="355"></embed></object></div>
<p>The <a href="http://www.archive.org/details/ConferenceofJohnNashandRobertAumanninBrescia">two hour long unedited recording</a> at a <a href="http://new.istiseo.org/ita/conv2008_1.php">conference of the ISEO Istitute</a> in which they tell about both their work, and their life is also available in streaming or for download.</p>
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		<title>One click too many: hail to the sysadmin and the scrupolous commenter both!</title>
		<link>http://www.davidorban.com/2008/03/one_click_too_m/</link>
		<comments>http://www.davidorban.com/2008/03/one_click_too_m/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Mar 2008 13:26:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Orban</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collaboration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[people]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[technology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://davidorban.natives.it/?p=196</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Imagine the nightmare scenario: your blog is doing ok, but you know it needs a total refresh for many, many reasons. You decide to do it, and find the right team, but before they can begin, the machine, which happens to be a virtual machine sitting on some hardware, needs to be rebuilt, so that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Imagine the nightmare scenario: <a href="http://www.davidorban.com/blogit">your blog is doing ok</a>, but you know it needs a total refresh for many, many reasons. You decide to do it, and find the <a href="http://www.digitalnatives.eu">right team</a>, but before they can begin, the machine, which happens to be a <a href="http://www.vmware.com">virtual machine</a> sitting on some hardware, needs to be rebuilt, so that <a href="http://www.mysql.com">various pieces</a> become rightly independent of others. While the machine is migrated, it is natural that some further <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Captcha">pieces fall apart</a>, and looka one of <a href="http://www.dfj.com/team/steve_bio.shtml">the world&#8217;s most prominent VC</a>s decides that he likes <a href="http://www.davidorban.com/blog/archives/2008/03/why_is_creative.html">one of your posts</a>, and wants to comment on it. He can&#8217;t at this point, but he doesn&#8217;t disgustedly give up. No, he is kind enough to write you an email, alerting you of the problem. You panic, and send out all kinds of requests for the commenting system to be straightened out, and in the meantime try to hide your desperation with an upbeat email back to the guy, so that&#8211;you hope crossing your fingers&#8211;if he decides that it&#8217;s worth his time and comes back to comment, he can. And yes! He does come back, he does post the comment again. Hurray! In the meantime, you are prancing happily on the back-end of your blogging software, unaware of this. You are pruning some spam comments, and your brain registers after ONE CLICK TO MANY that <a href="http://www.davidorban.com/blog/archives/2008/03/why_is_creative.html#comment-46761">the comment starting with &#8220;Great post&#8221;</a> is actually from him. You stare in horror as the unstoppable processes start eating all what you checked, with no autonomous intelligence to second-guess you.</p>
<div style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2323/1806156262_4a860045b7.jpg"></img></div>
<div style="text-align: right;">Image: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/pittsinger/">pittsinger</a></div>
<p>Your retina is burned with the afterimage of the comment which says all kinds of witty, and now lost things, and has links to interesting stuff which you won&#8217;t be able to look up. As you scramble to select the text, to at least copy it, wondering fleetingly if it would be honest to repost it after the fact, since a bit is a bit is a bit anyway, your computer (hey, this is a <a href="http://digg.com/apple/Best_Mac_Crash_EVER">Mac crashing</a> and they were not supposed to do this EVAR) decides that this is the best moment to barf and crash badly enough that it needs a cold restart. (Yes, I know, music software, video encoding, a virtual machine, a couple of dozen tabs on a beta browser, a voip client or two, two dozens of IM windows, might, just might justify it. But still, oh stochastic forces, why now, why me?!) The comment gone, the clipboard gone. More panicky checks, with somewhat laconic answers: &#8220;no, when you *delete* a record, instead of junking it, it is gone&#8221;, &#8220;no the database is not a file system, and you can download a &#8216;RecoverMySQL&#8217; utility to make you happy&#8217;, and &#8216;no, this is a virtual machine, with an automatically compacting virtual disk, so there is no magnetic trace that a military grade data recovery shop could discover there&#8221;&#8230;</p>
<p>And than, a miracle. It appears that your machine is backed up twice a day. And the comment in question has been posted six minutes (!) before the next backup. And <a href="http://www.mindsuburbia.net">your sysadmin</a> recovers it, and puts it back to its place.<br />
<big><br />
Cathartic!</big><br />
<em><br />
I don&#8217;t recommend it to anybody with a heart condition.</em></p>
<p>Well! As I am used to say, &#8220;<a href="http://www.davidorban.com/blog/archives/2007/12/what_is_the_que.html">what is the question that I should be asking?</a>&#8220;:</p>
<ul>
<li>How can I thank <a href="http://www.mindsuburbia.net">Marco</a> properly? (I already kneeled in front of him&#8230;)</li>
<li>What are the impacts of progressive dematerialization of our IT infrastructure?</li>
<li>What guarantees that I work with <a href="http://www.flickr.com/people/jurvetson/">Steve Jurvetson</a> before I die?</li>
</ul>
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		<title>Endorsing Barack Obama</title>
		<link>http://www.davidorban.com/2008/02/endorsing_barac/</link>
		<comments>http://www.davidorban.com/2008/02/endorsing_barac/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Feb 2008 16:17:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Orban</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[people]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[society]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://davidorban.natives.it/?p=186</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The changes necessary to keep our societies aligned with the needs of a desirable future can only be accomplished by those who belong to that future. Barack Obama is a choice for a desirable future. It also helps that, according to the Washington Post&#8217;s political compass survey, my views are strongly aligned with his. The [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The changes necessary to keep our societies aligned with the needs of a desirable future can only be accomplished by those who belong to that future.</p>
<div style="text-align: center;"><object width="425" height="355"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/2fZHou18Cdk&#038;rel=1"></param><param name="wmode" value="transparent"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/2fZHou18Cdk&#038;rel=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" wmode="transparent" width="425" height="355"></embed></object></div>
<p><a href="http://www.barackobama.com">Barack Obama</a> is a choice for a desirable future.</p>
<p>It also helps that, according to the Washington Post&#8217;s political compass survey, my views are strongly aligned with his.</p>
<p><span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-image"><img alt="political compass.png" src="http://www.davidorban.com/blog/archives/2008/02/04/political%20compass.png" width="469" height="467" class="mt-image-center" style="text-align: center; display: block; margin: 0 auto 20px;"/></span></p>
<p>The planet is intertwined, connected, unavoidably influencing its different parts with political and economical decisions, which today are not in turn influenced but by those who happen to live within what are called &#8216;national borders&#8217;. We have no mechanism in place to make sure that in a rightly nuanced and well defined manner the needs of those who are not within those borders are also taken into consideration. In the future we will need these tools, and we might then see elections that happen on a global scale, even without a worldwide government. Many of us would have wished to be able and vote in the US elections in the past two rounds, at least. And there a millions of people whose lives have been strongly impacted by their outcome. If it were possible, I&#8217;d vote for Barack, in the name of change.</p>
<p><em>Tomorrow is the day in the primary elections in the US when it&#8217;ll be seen if Obama or Clinton is going to become the Democratic candidate in the general elections&#8230; that is why I am writing this today.</em></p>
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		<title>Your balance in times of extreme change &#8211; the opinion of the Dalai Lama</title>
		<link>http://www.davidorban.com/2007/12/your_balance_in/</link>
		<comments>http://www.davidorban.com/2007/12/your_balance_in/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Dec 2007 10:59:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Orban</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[culture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[future]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://davidorban.natives.it/?p=180</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The changes that we observe around us are accelerating, and in a positive feedback loop the successive cycles feed on the previous ones&#8217; effects. The source of these changes is technology, as application of the increased knowledge we have of the world around us. As individuals, and as societies we have demonstrated to be very [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The changes that we observe around us are accelerating, and in a positive feedback loop the successive cycles feed on the previous ones&#8217; effects. The source of these changes is technology, as application of the increased knowledge we have of the world around us. As individuals, and as societies we have demonstrated to be very capable of adapting to the changes of our environment, but this necessarily has limits. We can observe around us phenomena at all levels that in my opinion can be connected with the difficulties of adaptation: migrations and the challenges of fitting in, the diffusion of depression, varying interpretations of the values of the applications of thechnologies, etc.<br />
<a href="http://www.singinst.org/"><br />
I follow the concepts of the Technological Singularity together with others</a> I follow and try to analyze their consequences, and I often stop to consider these issues. Yesterday I had the privilege of asking a question to sombebody who follows change as his profession, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tenzin_Gyatso%2C_14th_Dalai_Lama">Tenzin Gyatso</a>, the 14th Dalai Lama.</p>
<p>I asked him: &#8220;How can people find the right balance if their adaptability is stretched to its limits by technological progress evolving the rules of change?&#8221;</p>
<div style="text-align: center;"><object width="425" height="355"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/_CgZ2qkRSpo&#038;rel=1"></param><param name="wmode" value="transparent"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/_CgZ2qkRSpo&#038;rel=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" wmode="transparent" width="425" height="355"></embed></object></div>
<p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_CgZ2qkRSpo">The Dalai Lama answered</a>: &#8220;Technological progress has to serve humanity in its quest for happiness. It must not be the other way around, with humans enslaved to technology and money. The difference between humans and technology is that humans have feelings, and what I always say to my friends, is that our education systems have to teach the inner values of spirituality to the person.&#8221;</p>
<p>And at the end, like the crack of a whip he said: &#8220;I think that one day, the part of the brain which brings feelings should be removed, then we should be like robots, and ourselves become part machines. That would be good, actually. That would be super!&#8221; and he laughed&#8230;</p>
<p>Was he then joking? Or is the Dalai Lama a singularitarian transhumanist and he laughed so that those who were not ready could pretend and not take him seriously?</p>
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		<title>Planet ready to say killing and death are wrong?</title>
		<link>http://www.davidorban.com/2007/11/planet_ready_to/</link>
		<comments>http://www.davidorban.com/2007/11/planet_ready_to/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Nov 2007 12:55:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Orban</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[culture]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[society]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://davidorban.natives.it/?p=175</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Death is not the solution. Death is the problem. The UN has started the final procedures to put to a vote in front of the General Assembly a resolution for a universal moratorium on the death penalty. While not binding, the adoption of a resolution like this would be a further step towards an understanding [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Death is not the solution. Death is the problem.</p>
<p>The <a href="http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=24679&#038;Cr=general&#038;Cr1=assembly">UN has started the final procedures</a> to put to a vote in front of the General Assembly <a href="http://www.un.org/Docs/journal/asp/ws.asp?m=A/c.3/62/l.29">a resolution for a universal moratorium on the death penalty</a>. While not binding, the adoption of a resolution like this would be a further step towards an understanding how civilization ought to evolve in a complex environment that ill tolerates aggression at any level and from any source. And we should better want to be part of the solution then part of the problem ourselves.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.ted.com/talks/view/id/163">A wonderful video at TED by Steven Pinker, &#8216;A History Of Violence&#8217;</a>, illustrates how fallible we are in our evaluations on how the use violence changed in our societies at all scales. Its dramatic decline is illustrated in Pinker&#8217;s talk, and should serve as a guideline to politicians as strong as Moore&#8217;s law is to engineers as they stumble towards our shared future.</p>
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<p>Then there is <a href="http://www.sens.org/">Sens</a>, which takes further steps, and boldly declares that the invention of death, attributed to that of  sexual reproduction a few billion years ago, is also a mistake, which <a href="http://www.ted.com/talks/view/id/39">we must  correct</a>.</p>
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		<title>Couldn&#8217;t liveblog at the World Business Forum, but twittered</title>
		<link>http://www.davidorban.com/2007/10/couldnt_liveblo/</link>
		<comments>http://www.davidorban.com/2007/10/couldnt_liveblo/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Oct 2007 19:00:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Orban</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://davidorban.natives.it/?p=158</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There were a lot of very good speakers at the World Business Forum, and I was glad to be able and attend some of the sessions, and also to mingle with the other speakers. I met Eisner, from Disney, Chizen of Adobe, Perez of Kodak, Ray Kurzweil, and Colin Powell, well, of Kleiner Perkins, he [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/davidorban/1714170915/" title="Photo Sharing"><img src="http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2363/1714170915_27c5507695.jpg" width="500" height="461" alt="Ray Kurzweil and David Orban" /></a></div>
<p>There were a lot of very good speakers at the World Business Forum, and I was glad to be able and attend some of the sessions, and also to mingle with the other speakers. I met Eisner, from Disney, Chizen of Adobe, Perez of Kodak, Ray Kurzweil, and Colin Powell, well, of Kleiner Perkins, he says&#8230;.</p>
<p>There were no open wifi connections available. It was like &#8220;digital kidnapping&#8221; as http://www.leeander.com/ says, but <a href="http://twitter.com/davidorban">I could twitter</a> a little through my 3D connection (even if I do not like t9 too much). You can <a href="http://twitter.com/davidorban">read the river of tweets over there</a>.</p>
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		<title>Busy week in the US, but free for two breakfasts</title>
		<link>http://www.davidorban.com/2007/09/busy_week_in_th/</link>
		<comments>http://www.davidorban.com/2007/09/busy_week_in_th/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 02 Sep 2007 21:18:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Orban</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://davidorban.natives.it/?p=145</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I will be in New York on Monday and Tuesday, in San Diego on Wednesday, and in San Francisco until Monday. The week is pretty full, but if you are around New York on the 4th, or in San Francisco on the 7th, and want to have breakfast, let me know as I am still [...]]]></description>
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<p>I will be in New York on Monday and Tuesday, in San Diego on Wednesday, and in San Francisco until Monday. The week is pretty full, but if you are around New York on the 4th, or in San Francisco on the 7th, and want to have breakfast, let me know as I am still free in those spots.</p>
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		<title>&#8220;Born on a blue day&#8221; by Daniel Tammet</title>
		<link>http://www.davidorban.com/2007/07/born_on_a_blue/</link>
		<comments>http://www.davidorban.com/2007/07/born_on_a_blue/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Jul 2007 21:49:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Orban</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[books]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://davidorban.natives.it/?p=138</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I saw a piece of a BBC documentary about a British savant, Daniel Tammet, and was fascinated, since contrary to the character of Rain Man in the film, Danil was able to explain his capabilities, and observe the functioning of his brain. I picked up his book straight away when I saw it and read [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I saw a piece of a BBC documentary about a British savant, Daniel Tammet, and was fascinated, since contrary to the character of Rain Man in the film, Danil was able to explain his capabilities, and observe the functioning of his brain. I picked up his book straight away when I saw it and <a href="http://www.librarything.com/review/17828178">read it quickly</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>A very endearing and clear narrative that tells the childhood and growing into adult life of the author, an extraordinarily gifted person who is able to overcome the challenges of his autism. The observations that he makes about his own emotions, or lack of, are very illuminating, and the planning of interactions is a real study of self-consciousness!</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Al Shugart, father of the hard disk dies</title>
		<link>http://www.davidorban.com/2006/12/al_shugart_fath/</link>
		<comments>http://www.davidorban.com/2006/12/al_shugart_fath/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Dec 2006 16:28:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Orban</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[technology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://davidorban.natives.it/?p=89</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Al Shugart, founder of Seagate Technology, the leading hard disk manufacturer, died yesterday at 76. Shugart invented the technology behind the hard disks, starting from a a capacity at that time unbelievable of 5 MB, and built starting from scratch the company that brought them with a constant evolution, to become the basis of our [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al_Shugart">Al Shugart</a>, founder of Seagate Technology, the leading hard disk manufacturer, <a href="http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews/news/16237143.htm">died yesterday</a> at 76. Shugart invented the technology behind the hard disks, starting from a a capacity at that time unbelievable of 5 MB, and built starting from scratch the company that brought them with a constant evolution, to become the basis of our digital world of today. Moore&#8217;s Law dictates the financial and engineering efforts necessary to keep progressing microprocessor power, and double their speed every eighteen months. The doubling index of hard disks is even quicker at 12 months, and they keep accelerating in the overlap of successive leapfrogging technologies.</p>
<p>At the head of this economic and technological development, Shugart has always been able to <a href="http://www.mercextra.com/blogs/cassidy/2006/12/13/al-shugart-dies-well-miss-the-genuine-article/">keep a very direct and human style</a>, even when his company grew to revenues of several billion dollars. I met him at a Seagate Technology event in Las Vegas, at the beginning of the nineties. There were 200-300 people and he was calmly sitting on a sofa in the back of the room, with his marquee hawaiian shirt, chatting along. We were introduced, exchanged a few sentences, and our business cards. On his, instead of the traditional CEO title, under his name it read simply &#8220;zookeeper&#8221;.</p>
<p>In his excellent book, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Innovators-Dilemma-Revolutionary-Business-Essentials/dp/0060521996">The Innovator&#8217;s Dilemma</a>, Clay Christensen takes the hard disk industry, and specifically Seagate Technology, as an example for how delicate and difficult it is to keep cannibalizing your technologies in a continuous innovation, where the new process seems a failure at the beginning, and menacingly efficient when it starts to kick finally in.</p>
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